5-day weather forecast for Hurdle Mills, North Carolina

Weather forecast accuracy details for Chapel Hill, North Carolina

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month
Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
MeteoGroup   86.67% 70.00% 92.22% 92.22% 85.28%
The Weather Channel   79.76% 71.43% 92.86% 92.86% 84.23%
Weather Underground   77.78% 68.89% 92.22% 92.22% 82.78%
AccuWeather   74.44% 74.44% 90.00% 91.11% 82.50%
National Weather Service   70.00% 65.56% 94.44% 94.44% 81.11%
Foreca   75.56% 62.22% 93.33% 93.33% 81.11%
Dark Sky (forecast.io)   66.67% 64.44% 96.67% 96.67% 81.11%
CustomWeather   72.22% 71.11% 85.56% 85.56% 78.61%
WeatherBug   65.91% 59.09% 89.77% 89.77% 76.14%
Persistence   17.78% 20.00% 67.78% 67.78% 43.33%
Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year
Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
The Weather Channel   75.24% 76.76% 82.10% 82.10% 79.05%
MeteoGroup   72.76% 76.38% 82.95% 82.86% 78.74%
National Weather Service   72.40% 75.07% 80.61% 80.71% 77.20%
WeatherBug   69.74% 71.29% 81.86% 81.86% 76.19%
Weather Underground   68.57% 71.90% 81.24% 79.81% 75.38%
Foreca   71.43% 67.24% 80.67% 80.67% 75.00%
AccuWeather   68.29% 69.05% 80.38% 79.33% 74.26%
CustomWeather   68.48% 71.33% 78.38% 78.29% 74.12%
Persistence   36.55% 31.79% 58.52% 58.52% 46.35%
 
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The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this white paper.

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