Weather forecast accuracy details for Ninilchik, Alaska

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (May)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
Microsoft   94.44% 73.33% 71.11% 71.11% 77.50%
The Weather Channel   96.67% 76.67% 67.78% 67.78% 77.22%
AccuWeather   96.67% 76.67% 70.00% 65.56% 77.22%
AerisWeather   91.11% 77.78% 68.89% 68.89% 76.67%
Foreca   91.11% 76.67% 68.89% 68.89% 76.39%
Weatherbit   58.43% 67.42% 81.11% 81.11% 72.02%
NWS Digital Forecast   85.56% 72.22% 58.89% 58.89% 68.89%
Open-Meteo   88.89% 80.00% 53.33% 53.33% 68.89%
Persistence   75.27% 58.06% 54.84% 54.84% 60.75%
OpenWeather   46.67% 61.11% 65.56% 65.56% 59.72%
World Weather Online   71.11% 58.89% 50.00% 50.00% 57.50%
Wetter.com   34.44% 55.56% 67.78% 67.78% 56.39%
Pirate Weather   30.00% 50.00% 74.44% 48.89% 50.83%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2024)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
Microsoft   87.31% 71.20% 81.77% 82.89% 80.79%
The Weather Channel   86.31% 71.46% 80.51% 80.51% 79.70%
AccuWeather   89.87% 74.18% 77.23% 76.83% 79.53%
Foreca   84.75% 70.09% 80.80% 80.80% 79.11%
AerisWeather   84.26% 67.25% 79.34% 78.85% 77.43%
Open-Meteo   77.91% 63.25% 77.19% 77.19% 73.88%
NWS Digital Forecast   82.32% 62.87% 71.03% 71.03% 71.81%
OpenWeather   47.70% 50.83% 76.32% 76.32% 62.79%
Wetter.com   44.87% 56.01% 73.29% 72.32% 61.62%
Weatherbit   51.53% 44.81% 73.20% 73.20% 60.68%
Pirate Weather   22.04% 41.05% 78.92% 78.92% 55.23%
Persistence   58.97% 37.70% 57.43% 57.43% 52.88%
World Weather Online   14.96% 43.50% 69.88% 69.88% 49.56%

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The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

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