Weather forecast accuracy details for Tok, Alaska

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (October)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
Weather Underground   70.97% 75.27% 70.97% 70.97% 72.04%
Wetter   65.59% 61.29% 80.65% 80.65% 72.04%
The Weather Channel   70.97% 75.27% 67.74% 67.74% 70.43%
AccuWeather   75.00% 65.59% 68.48% 68.48% 69.39%
Foreca/Vaisala   63.44% 64.52% 69.89% 69.89% 66.94%
AerisWeather   63.44% 62.37% 65.59% 64.52% 63.98%
World Weather Online   63.44% 59.14% 58.06% 58.06% 59.68%
OpenWeather   67.74% 46.24% 61.29% 61.29% 59.14%
Weatherbit   65.59% 34.41% 65.59% 65.59% 57.80%
NWS Digital Forecast   55.91% 64.52% 51.61% 51.61% 55.91%
Dark Sky   36.96% 47.83% 58.70% 58.70% 50.54%
Persistence   27.27% 29.11% 42.86% 42.86% 35.53%
Weather News   3.23% 1.08% 61.29% 61.29% 31.72%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2021)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
The Weather Channel   72.69% 57.82% 84.18% 84.18% 74.72%
Weather Underground   72.41% 58.29% 82.39% 82.39% 73.87%
Foreca/Vaisala   72.98% 58.19% 79.37% 80.98% 72.88%
AccuWeather   72.57% 54.77% 83.14% 78.86% 72.33%
Dark Sky   57.91% 50.94% 82.49% 82.49% 68.46%
AerisWeather   66.29% 50.42% 75.07% 74.98% 66.69%
NWS Digital Forecast   66.07% 47.82% 68.06% 68.06% 62.50%
Wetter   50.28% 41.81% 78.44% 78.44% 62.24%
Weatherbit   54.20% 36.60% 75.83% 75.83% 60.61%
OpenWeather   51.51% 35.88% 76.18% 76.18% 59.93%
World Weather Online   51.52% 37.12% 71.40% 71.40% 57.86%
Persistence   32.00% 28.52% 57.11% 57.11% 43.69%

If this data feeds your inner weather geek, you'll probably be interested in the amazing amount of weather data available from ForecastWatch. Likewise, if you're looking to assess your own forecasting accuracy or would like to make more informed decisions about a weather provider you're considering or already use, we can provide data to help you.

The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

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