Weather forecast accuracy details for Patagonia, Arizona

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (February)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
The Weather Channel   88.51% 80.46% 100.00% 100.00% 92.24%
Foreca/Vaisala   87.36% 80.46% 95.40% 95.40% 89.66%
Microsoft   85.37% 77.11% 95.12% 95.12% 88.18%
AccuWeather   85.00% 70.89% 91.25% 92.50% 84.91%
NWS Digital Forecast   82.76% 68.97% 91.95% 91.95% 83.91%
AerisWeather   85.06% 67.82% 89.66% 89.66% 83.05%
Weatherbit   79.31% 60.92% 94.25% 95.40% 82.47%
Open-Meteo   45.98% 35.63% 90.80% 90.80% 65.80%
Wetter   56.32% 32.18% 90.80% 81.61% 65.23%
Pirate Weather   31.03% 21.84% 97.70% 97.70% 62.07%
OpenWeather   21.84% 36.78% 88.51% 88.51% 58.91%
World Weather Online   11.49% 27.59% 88.51% 88.51% 54.02%
Persistence   35.94% 28.57% 68.75% 68.75% 50.50%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2023)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
The Weather Channel   90.61% 83.79% 90.91% 90.91% 89.05%
Microsoft   91.66% 78.68% 90.97% 90.97% 88.07%
Foreca/Vaisala   87.38% 80.57% 89.62% 89.62% 86.80%
AccuWeather   91.20% 74.40% 87.32% 87.13% 85.01%
AerisWeather   89.23% 74.40% 87.60% 87.60% 84.71%
NWS Digital Forecast   89.29% 73.74% 82.99% 82.99% 82.26%
Weatherbit   64.06% 60.55% 89.89% 89.98% 76.12%
World Weather Online   62.33% 47.69% 88.09% 88.09% 71.55%
Wetter   53.68% 30.29% 88.43% 87.97% 65.09%
Pirate Weather   33.98% 35.09% 90.06% 90.06% 62.29%
Persistence   44.73% 42.81% 79.37% 79.37% 61.57%
OpenWeather   31.86% 37.11% 88.43% 88.43% 61.46%

If this data feeds your inner weather geek, you'll probably be interested in the amazing amount of weather data available from ForecastWatch. Likewise, if you're looking to assess your own forecasting accuracy or would like to make more informed decisions about a weather provider you're considering or already use, we can provide data to help you.

The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

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