Weather forecast accuracy details for Phoenix, Arizona

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (April)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
Microsoft   96.43% 93.90% 98.65% 98.65% 96.91%
Foreca/Vaisala   96.67% 89.89% 98.89% 98.89% 96.08%
AerisWeather   96.67% 89.89% 98.89% 98.89% 96.08%
The Weather Channel   94.44% 89.89% 96.67% 96.67% 94.42%
AccuWeather   92.22% 91.01% 96.67% 96.67% 94.14%
NWS Digital Forecast   88.89% 85.39% 96.67% 96.67% 91.90%
Weatherbit   77.78% 80.90% 92.22% 92.22% 85.78%
Pirate Weather   97.70% 48.84% 94.25% 95.40% 84.05%
Wetter.com   92.22% 37.08% 93.33% 93.33% 78.99%
Open-Meteo   94.44% 25.84% 96.67% 96.67% 78.41%
OpenWeather   94.44% 31.46% 93.33% 93.33% 78.14%
World Weather Online   61.11% 60.67% 92.22% 92.22% 76.56%
Persistence   28.33% 32.20% 81.67% 81.67% 55.97%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2024)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
Microsoft   95.72% 84.22% 95.24% 95.16% 92.58%
The Weather Channel   94.97% 84.24% 95.45% 95.45% 92.53%
Foreca/Vaisala   93.26% 85.47% 95.36% 95.36% 92.36%
AerisWeather   92.50% 86.42% 95.08% 95.08% 92.27%
AccuWeather   95.28% 84.57% 92.32% 91.35% 90.88%
NWS Digital Forecast   93.22% 84.98% 88.77% 88.77% 88.94%
Weatherbit   91.17% 73.98% 94.70% 94.70% 88.64%
Pirate Weather   89.62% 50.29% 94.97% 94.97% 82.46%
Wetter.com   84.71% 40.08% 93.84% 92.99% 77.91%
Open-Meteo   85.94% 32.19% 87.78% 87.78% 73.43%
OpenWeather   83.95% 25.07% 84.56% 84.56% 69.54%
World Weather Online   73.88% 38.65% 82.58% 82.58% 69.42%
Persistence   51.64% 49.34% 80.79% 80.79% 65.64%

If this data feeds your inner weather geek, you'll probably be interested in the amazing amount of weather data available from ForecastWatch. Likewise, if you're looking to assess your own forecasting accuracy or would like to make more informed decisions about a weather provider you're considering or already use, we can provide data to help you.

The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

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