Weather forecast accuracy details for Phoenix, Arizona

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (August)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
Microsoft   97.01% 85.07% 88.89% 88.89% 89.97%
Foreca   97.22% 76.39% 88.89% 88.89% 87.85%
Pirate Weather   98.61% 59.72% 93.06% 91.67% 85.76%
AerisWeather   97.22% 70.83% 87.50% 87.50% 85.76%
The Weather Channel   95.83% 73.61% 83.33% 83.33% 84.03%
Weatherbit   84.72% 75.00% 87.50% 87.50% 83.68%
Wetter.com   81.94% 47.22% 81.94% 80.56% 72.92%
Open-Meteo   91.67% 36.11% 79.17% 79.17% 71.53%
NWS Digital Forecast   86.11% 54.17% 69.44% 69.44% 69.79%
World Weather Online   50.00% 59.72% 84.72% 84.72% 69.79%
OpenWeather   90.28% 41.67% 70.83% 70.83% 68.40%
Persistence   58.33% 19.15% 77.08% 77.08% 57.91%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2024)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
The Weather Channel   95.12% 81.97% 94.85% 94.85% 91.70%
Microsoft   94.53% 80.94% 94.19% 94.12% 90.94%
Foreca   92.68% 80.56% 94.29% 94.29% 90.45%
AerisWeather   91.17% 80.19% 94.19% 94.19% 89.94%
Weatherbit   81.60% 79.44% 93.91% 93.91% 87.22%
Pirate Weather   87.57% 52.35% 94.46% 94.46% 82.21%
NWS Digital Forecast   82.94% 61.16% 88.25% 88.25% 80.15%
Wetter.com   86.29% 33.43% 92.70% 92.04% 76.11%
Open-Meteo   86.76% 28.64% 87.92% 87.92% 72.81%
World Weather Online   84.23% 32.58% 85.49% 85.49% 71.95%
OpenWeather   87.89% 18.69% 86.80% 86.80% 70.04%
Persistence   51.51% 46.13% 82.10% 82.10% 65.46%

If this data feeds your inner weather geek, you'll probably be interested in the amazing amount of weather data available from ForecastWatch. Likewise, if you're looking to assess your own forecasting accuracy or would like to make more informed decisions about a weather provider you're considering or already use, we can provide data to help you.

The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

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