Weather forecast accuracy details for Carlsbad, California

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (July)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
Microsoft   100.00% 97.85% 96.77% 96.77% 97.85%
Foreca   96.77% 98.92% 96.77% 96.77% 97.31%
AerisWeather   96.77% 98.92% 96.77% 96.77% 97.31%
The Weather Channel   95.70% 94.62% 96.77% 96.77% 95.97%
Pirate Weather   95.70% 92.47% 96.77% 95.70% 95.16%
Weatherbit   86.02% 92.47% 96.77% 96.77% 93.01%
NWS Digital Forecast   74.19% 96.77% 96.77% 96.77% 91.13%
Persistence   83.87% 90.00% 90.32% 90.32% 88.63%
Wetter.com   88.17% 79.57% 88.17% 96.77% 88.17%
OpenWeather   65.59% 83.87% 97.85% 97.85% 86.29%
World Weather Online   60.22% 90.32% 96.77% 96.77% 86.02%
Open-Meteo   37.63% 78.49% 94.62% 94.62% 76.34%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2024)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
Microsoft   91.64% 92.04% 94.23% 94.53% 93.11%
The Weather Channel   89.84% 92.50% 93.86% 93.86% 92.52%
Foreca   89.65% 89.84% 93.96% 93.96% 91.85%
AerisWeather   88.89% 90.60% 93.39% 93.39% 91.57%
Weatherbit   79.96% 87.44% 91.52% 91.52% 87.61%
NWS Digital Forecast   75.78% 87.16% 90.12% 90.12% 85.80%
Pirate Weather   82.53% 70.37% 93.48% 93.48% 84.97%
Wetter.com   73.31% 65.34% 92.07% 91.12% 80.46%
OpenWeather   70.28% 66.38% 91.22% 91.22% 79.77%
World Weather Online   60.49% 71.89% 90.56% 90.56% 78.37%
Persistence   66.78% 70.27% 81.41% 81.41% 74.97%
Open-Meteo   47.96% 55.65% 90.65% 90.65% 71.23%

If this data feeds your inner weather geek, you'll probably be interested in the amazing amount of weather data available from ForecastWatch. Likewise, if you're looking to assess your own forecasting accuracy or would like to make more informed decisions about a weather provider you're considering or already use, we can provide data to help you.

The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

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