Weather forecast accuracy details for Palmdale, California

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (February)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
The Weather Channel   98.85% 81.61% 80.46% 80.46% 85.34%
Microsoft   91.78% 86.30% 80.82% 82.19% 85.27%
Weatherbit   100.00% 77.38% 76.19% 76.19% 82.44%
NWS Digital Forecast   87.21% 65.12% 86.05% 86.05% 81.10%
Foreca/Vaisala   90.80% 70.11% 80.46% 80.46% 80.46%
AccuWeather   92.50% 77.22% 75.00% 72.50% 79.30%
AerisWeather   86.21% 54.02% 87.36% 87.36% 78.74%
Open-Meteo   77.01% 54.02% 83.91% 83.91% 74.71%
OpenWeather   74.71% 40.23% 86.21% 86.21% 71.84%
World Weather Online   49.43% 48.28% 86.21% 86.21% 67.53%
Wetter   77.01% 52.87% 68.97% 62.07% 65.23%
Pirate Weather   51.72% 33.33% 79.31% 79.31% 60.92%
Persistence   50.79% 26.56% 55.56% 55.56% 47.12%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2023)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
The Weather Channel   92.12% 77.93% 96.52% 96.52% 90.77%
Microsoft   88.29% 78.37% 95.93% 95.93% 89.63%
AccuWeather   88.88% 75.88% 94.96% 93.82% 88.39%
Foreca/Vaisala   86.08% 71.25% 95.42% 95.42% 87.04%
AerisWeather   81.14% 65.02% 93.13% 93.13% 83.10%
Weatherbit   86.33% 57.71% 94.09% 94.09% 83.06%
NWS Digital Forecast   81.78% 62.44% 92.13% 92.13% 82.12%
World Weather Online   70.21% 43.01% 93.58% 93.58% 75.10%
OpenWeather   72.34% 37.36% 94.41% 94.41% 74.63%
Wetter   70.24% 35.62% 94.05% 94.05% 73.49%
Pirate Weather   64.74% 33.15% 95.87% 95.87% 72.41%
Persistence   40.85% 37.53% 83.05% 83.05% 61.12%

If this data feeds your inner weather geek, you'll probably be interested in the amazing amount of weather data available from ForecastWatch. Likewise, if you're looking to assess your own forecasting accuracy or would like to make more informed decisions about a weather provider you're considering or already use, we can provide data to help you.

The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

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