Weather forecast accuracy details for Tampa, Florida

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (March)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
The Weather Channel   92.47% 91.40% 86.02% 86.02% 88.98%
Microsoft   100.00% 88.17% 82.80% 81.72% 88.17%
Weatherbit   97.78% 91.11% 80.00% 80.00% 87.22%
AerisWeather   87.10% 95.70% 82.80% 82.80% 87.10%
World Weather Online   93.55% 89.25% 81.72% 81.72% 86.56%
Foreca/Vaisala   96.77% 84.95% 81.72% 81.72% 86.29%
AccuWeather   96.67% 87.78% 78.89% 78.89% 85.56%
NWS Digital Forecast   92.47% 91.40% 77.42% 77.42% 84.68%
Pirate Weather   89.25% 60.22% 82.80% 82.80% 78.76%
OpenWeather   84.95% 65.59% 80.65% 80.65% 77.96%
Open-Meteo   80.65% 66.67% 80.65% 80.65% 77.15%
Wetter   68.82% 93.55% 72.04% 72.04% 76.61%
Persistence   58.33% 32.88% 52.78% 52.78% 49.19%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2023)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
Microsoft   90.52% 92.08% 83.70% 83.70% 87.50%
Foreca/Vaisala   89.50% 89.04% 83.38% 83.38% 86.32%
The Weather Channel   90.50% 91.32% 80.91% 80.91% 85.91%
Weatherbit   83.73% 85.17% 79.14% 79.14% 81.79%
AerisWeather   91.05% 90.32% 71.32% 71.32% 81.00%
AccuWeather   87.77% 91.00% 73.84% 71.18% 80.95%
NWS Digital Forecast   90.04% 89.02% 67.87% 67.87% 78.70%
Wetter   72.42% 82.19% 78.45% 77.44% 77.63%
Pirate Weather   80.68% 64.10% 80.77% 80.77% 76.58%
OpenWeather   76.89% 66.76% 75.62% 75.62% 73.72%
World Weather Online   65.62% 74.40% 72.68% 72.68% 71.35%
Persistence   64.66% 46.27% 62.82% 62.82% 59.14%

If this data feeds your inner weather geek, you'll probably be interested in the amazing amount of weather data available from ForecastWatch. Likewise, if you're looking to assess your own forecasting accuracy or would like to make more informed decisions about a weather provider you're considering or already use, we can provide data to help you.

The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

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