Weather forecast accuracy details for Missoula, Montana

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (May)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
Weather Underground   82.80% 72.04% 79.57% 79.57% 78.49%
The Weather Channel   84.95% 69.89% 73.12% 73.12% 75.27%
Foreca/Vaisala   66.67% 67.74% 80.65% 80.65% 73.92%
AccuWeather   78.49% 68.82% 69.89% 69.89% 71.77%
AerisWeather   77.42% 54.84% 74.19% 74.19% 70.16%
Wetter   52.69% 69.89% 76.34% 76.34% 68.82%
NWS Digital Forecast   77.78% 58.89% 68.89% 68.89% 68.61%
Weather News   63.44% 41.94% 67.74% 67.74% 60.22%
Dark Sky   58.06% 38.71% 67.74% 67.74% 58.06%
Weatherbit   37.63% 20.43% 74.19% 74.19% 51.61%
OpenWeather   47.31% 38.71% 53.76% 53.76% 48.39%
World Weather Online   40.86% 6.45% 47.31% 47.31% 35.48%
Persistence   24.62% 36.92% 40.00% 40.00% 35.38%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2021)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
The Weather Channel   72.39% 73.78% 87.07% 87.07% 80.08%
Weather Underground   72.67% 73.78% 85.32% 85.32% 79.27%
AccuWeather   72.55% 72.76% 79.28% 82.45% 76.76%
AerisWeather   68.61% 64.64% 83.19% 83.19% 74.91%
Foreca/Vaisala   60.76% 66.57% 83.39% 82.09% 73.20%
NWS Digital Forecast   69.72% 62.22% 79.61% 79.61% 72.79%
OpenWeather   62.88% 43.12% 79.59% 79.59% 66.30%
Wetter   65.24% 42.92% 77.02% 77.02% 65.55%
Weather News   52.82% 59.19% 67.87% 67.87% 61.93%
Dark Sky   43.21% 37.49% 81.16% 81.16% 60.76%
Weatherbit   37.77% 36.54% 78.76% 78.76% 57.96%
World Weather Online   52.31% 14.07% 74.26% 74.26% 53.73%
Persistence   31.43% 31.31% 62.67% 62.67% 47.02%

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The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

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