Weather forecast accuracy details for Newark, New Jersey

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (October)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
AccuWeather   78.26% 74.19% 86.96% 88.04% 81.86%
The Weather Channel   79.57% 77.42% 84.95% 84.95% 81.72%
AerisWeather   72.04% 77.42% 87.10% 87.10% 80.91%
Weather Underground   79.57% 76.34% 81.72% 81.72% 79.84%
NWS Digital Forecast   75.27% 75.27% 81.72% 81.72% 78.49%
Dark Sky   73.12% 59.14% 90.32% 90.32% 78.23%
Foreca/Vaisala   84.95% 75.27% 76.34% 76.34% 78.23%
Weather News   59.14% 72.04% 77.42% 77.42% 71.51%
World Weather Online   71.11% 45.56% 84.44% 84.44% 71.39%
OpenWeather   66.67% 44.09% 86.02% 86.02% 70.70%
Wetter   75.27% 60.22% 70.97% 70.97% 69.35%
Weatherbit   54.55% 23.86% 80.68% 80.68% 59.94%
Persistence   31.88% 28.99% 50.72% 50.72% 40.58%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2021)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
The Weather Channel   83.43% 82.50% 84.68% 84.68% 83.82%
Foreca/Vaisala   83.15% 81.10% 84.68% 84.87% 83.45%
Weather Underground   83.89% 83.24% 81.71% 81.71% 82.64%
AccuWeather   81.54% 84.82% 82.58% 80.19% 82.28%
Dark Sky   74.02% 82.31% 84.12% 84.12% 81.14%
AerisWeather   74.42% 72.55% 80.07% 80.07% 76.78%
NWS Digital Forecast   77.36% 68.29% 73.20% 73.20% 73.01%
World Weather Online   60.15% 61.27% 78.09% 78.09% 69.40%
Wetter   57.45% 66.67% 75.95% 75.95% 69.00%
OpenWeather   58.47% 51.30% 81.24% 81.24% 68.07%
Weatherbit   48.67% 53.61% 78.67% 78.67% 64.91%
Weather News   61.36% 63.87% 64.35% 64.35% 63.48%
Persistence   32.60% 33.66% 54.03% 54.03% 43.58%

If this data feeds your inner weather geek, you'll probably be interested in the amazing amount of weather data available from ForecastWatch. Likewise, if you're looking to assess your own forecasting accuracy or would like to make more informed decisions about a weather provider you're considering or already use, we can provide data to help you.

The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

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