Weather forecast accuracy details for Aurora, Oregon

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (February)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
The Weather Channel   72.41% 80.46% 95.40% 95.40% 85.92%
Microsoft   77.91% 83.72% 87.21% 89.53% 84.59%
Foreca/Vaisala   77.01% 83.91% 87.36% 87.36% 83.91%
AccuWeather   78.31% 76.83% 86.75% 83.13% 81.26%
AerisWeather   71.26% 71.26% 86.21% 86.21% 78.74%
NWS Digital Forecast   70.93% 68.60% 86.05% 86.05% 77.91%
Weatherbit   71.76% 68.97% 80.00% 80.00% 75.18%
OpenWeather   51.72% 58.62% 87.36% 87.36% 71.26%
Open-Meteo   57.47% 51.72% 86.21% 86.21% 70.40%
World Weather Online   49.43% 48.28% 88.51% 88.51% 68.68%
Pirate Weather   50.57% 39.08% 85.06% 85.06% 64.94%
Persistence   46.67% 40.98% 73.33% 73.33% 58.58%
Wetter   58.62% 54.02% 62.07% 51.72% 56.61%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2023)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
The Weather Channel   81.40% 83.89% 90.06% 90.06% 86.35%
Microsoft   80.77% 83.09% 90.19% 90.19% 86.06%
Foreca/Vaisala   80.20% 80.02% 89.96% 89.96% 85.04%
AerisWeather   78.45% 81.03% 88.86% 88.86% 84.30%
NWS Digital Forecast   78.18% 80.04% 87.19% 87.19% 83.15%
AccuWeather   78.49% 76.70% 87.48% 87.86% 82.63%
Weatherbit   74.22% 73.09% 88.39% 88.48% 81.04%
Pirate Weather   63.04% 44.79% 88.20% 88.20% 71.06%
OpenWeather   63.63% 45.76% 87.11% 87.11% 70.90%
Wetter   58.47% 59.21% 81.40% 77.53% 69.15%
World Weather Online   62.91% 42.39% 85.45% 85.45% 69.05%
Persistence   39.97% 40.20% 69.67% 69.67% 54.88%

If this data feeds your inner weather geek, you'll probably be interested in the amazing amount of weather data available from ForecastWatch. Likewise, if you're looking to assess your own forecasting accuracy or would like to make more informed decisions about a weather provider you're considering or already use, we can provide data to help you.

The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

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