Weather forecast accuracy details for Front Royal, Virginia

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (July)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
Microsoft   95.56% 83.33% 75.56% 75.56% 82.50%
The Weather Channel   88.89% 85.56% 73.33% 73.33% 80.28%
Weatherbit   90.00% 81.11% 72.22% 72.22% 78.89%
AerisWeather   81.11% 82.22% 72.22% 72.22% 76.94%
Foreca   80.00% 81.11% 70.00% 70.00% 75.28%
NWS Digital Forecast   91.01% 78.65% 64.04% 64.04% 74.44%
Pirate Weather   74.44% 72.22% 72.22% 67.78% 71.67%
Open-Meteo   80.00% 67.78% 68.89% 68.89% 71.39%
OpenWeather   75.86% 68.97% 65.52% 65.52% 68.97%
World Weather Online   64.44% 65.56% 72.22% 72.22% 68.61%
Wetter.com   66.67% 70.00% 71.11% 63.33% 67.78%
Persistence   67.21% 48.33% 62.30% 62.30% 60.03%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2024)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
Microsoft   81.62% 76.42% 86.37% 86.55% 82.74%
The Weather Channel   79.72% 75.49% 86.52% 86.52% 82.06%
Foreca   77.65% 74.55% 85.96% 85.96% 81.03%
AerisWeather   77.56% 72.96% 85.58% 85.30% 80.35%
Weatherbit   78.80% 68.77% 83.52% 83.52% 78.65%
NWS Digital Forecast   74.65% 69.68% 74.93% 74.93% 73.55%
Pirate Weather   73.43% 37.37% 87.27% 87.27% 71.33%
Open-Meteo   61.22% 56.43% 81.84% 81.84% 70.33%
OpenWeather   61.60% 49.58% 79.87% 79.87% 67.73%
Wetter.com   59.34% 55.96% 76.22% 75.66% 66.79%
World Weather Online   58.03% 56.15% 75.37% 75.37% 66.23%
Persistence   31.65% 27.51% 58.17% 58.17% 43.87%

If this data feeds your inner weather geek, you'll probably be interested in the amazing amount of weather data available from ForecastWatch. Likewise, if you're looking to assess your own forecasting accuracy or would like to make more informed decisions about a weather provider you're considering or already use, we can provide data to help you.

The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

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